News – US – Trail Blazers vs. Sonnen: Overall is puffed up

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The Portland Trailblazers start their road trip in three games against the Phoenix Suns in a Western Conference showdown that may have an impact on the playoff line If the postseason started today, these two teams would meet since the Suns hold the fourth seed in the Western Conference with a record of 19-10, while the Blazers hold the fifth seed with a record of 18-11

Both teams come into this game brand new Damian Lillard and the Blazers have won eight of their last ten games despite the absence of CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic, although the Blazers had a speed bump on Saturday night when they saw their winning streak in six games when the Washington Wizards lost between 118 and 111, they are hoping to bounce back against the Suns, who have won 11 of their last 13 games, a 128-97 drubbing by the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday night

When the Blazer McCollum was worn for four weeks due to an injury to his left foot on Jan. Just days after losing Nurkic to a broken right wrist, many analysts thought their season was over.The Blazers had an 8-6 record, but they certainly couldn’t survive losing two key starters, right?

If there is anyone who could get us to eat our words, it’s Damian Lillard, who is in the middle of another MVP season, averaging 30 points on 445% shoot along with 79 assists, 45 Rebounds per game and 11 steals.He leads an offense that ranks fifth in the offensive, scoring 117 points, 7 points per 100 possessions in their minutes without waste, according to Cleaning The Glass

The Blazers get most of their points behind the arch when they are on the edge of the field goal percentage at the bottom of the league, but are sixth (39) 1% on 3-point shooting) It is no accident that the Blazers shoot second highest percentage of 3-point field attempts with 43, 2% of their shots come from behind In today’s NBA, this is certainly an optimal strategy since Lillard, Gary Trent, Anfernee Simons and Carmelo Anthony are above average shooters and neither are you Robert Covington want to leave open from downtown

Unfortunately for the Blazers and every other jump shooting team, you often have nights when you just don’t shoot, like Saturday against the Wizards in particular, Lillard was only 10 of 30 off the field and had in at 2 of 13 shooting Only six points held in the first half The Blazers as a whole shot just 359% off the field and were miserable in the second and fourth quarters, scoring only 12 and 19 points, respectively

In a game that was decided by only eight points, your offensive just didn’t have it, and if your offensive doesn’t have it, you just won’t win as they ranked 28th in the defensive standings Place (116) 6) in their non-garbage time minutes according to Cleaning The Glass The Blazer Defense allowed the fifth highest eFG% (55) 7%) in the league this season and is in EFG% in almost all areas of the Bottom below the bottom 10, with the exception of the three point range, however, it is clear that this team will go as Damian Lillard and the offensive can go

The Phoenix Suns may not have the star power of the Lakers, Nets, Clippers or Bucks, nor have they played basketball almost perfectly like Jazz for two months, but they are still one of the best teams in the league in many ways Still underestimated even with 11 wins in the last 13

Although they play two games against the Grizzlies and Pelicans in which they beat them by an average of 245 points, they not only defeat inferior competition The Suns are 9-5 against teams at or over 500 with wins over the Jazz, 76ers , Bucks, Nuggets, and Celtics One of their few missteps in recent weeks has been a 24-point lead over James Harden and the Brooklyn Nets, but otherwise this team has proven they can beat anyone

Chris Paul overtook Oscar Robertson in assists for the sixth time this week and has an experienced lead and top-notch point guard game with a team of young stars in Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton who won 8-0 on the NBA bubble added play-in match narrowly missed If you factor in the solid third year winger from Jae Crowder and Mikal Bridges, who averages 14 points per game and shoots 41% behind the bow, this is a dangerous list

However, it is no surprise that the suns are fifth in the net rating (4) 8) behind the Jazz, Bucks, Clippers and Lakers They are eighth in the offensive rating (1138) and sixth in the defensive rating (109) One of the most important statistics that stands out is that the suns are in ninth place on the 3-point shooting percentage (38) 0%), but they also allow the sixth lowest 3-point shooting percentage in defense (35) 5%) which is the key against a blazer team generating the most points behind the bow

I think the Suns are ahead of the pack in this match and should take the win, but as we all know the point distribution is the big equalizer. My projections make the Suns a 635-point favorite right there where the market for this game lies with the Blazers taking a disappointing loss against the Wizards, I really don’t see much value in fading them at this point at the current number

The suns are 29 and play 9,750 possessions per game this season.The Blazers are not a particularly fast team either, as they are 99 on 17th There are 75 possessions per game. If a slow game is okay, we need high offensive performance from both teams, but I don’t see that

The suns have the parts to protect Damian Lillard and that blazer offensive as they can limit 3 point attempts.The blazers are also at the front end of a back to back so I can imagine us for their starters can see a little more calm than usual

My projections actually make this game 2265 and I feel like that sum is inflated because the Suns have been playing fast paced teams like the Pelicans, Grizzlies, Nets, and Bucks over the past week The Blazers have seen theirs Games have fallen below the grand in two of the last three games so I think they are showing some inflation too, so I’m going to play the below 230 here and would downplay that to 229

According to our NBA odds comparison formula, PointsBet has the best price at 230 (-105), better than the 2305 (-115) at FanDuel and BetMGM

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NBA, Portland Trail Blazer, Phoenix Suns, Los Angeles Lakers, Western Conference

News – USA – Trail Blazer vs. Sonnen: Overall is puffed up
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Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-odds-picks-portland-trail-blazers-vs-phoenix-suns-betting-february-22