Race-by-race tips and preview for Golden Rose day at Rosehill


8. Tempel One shot clear to win impressively first-up at Scone over 1300m. The three-year-old stalked a slow speed so was in the right spot but like the way he accelerated to pick up the leader to win running away. Second and fourth from that race have since won too. The son of Real Impact looks set to relish the 1500m and another dry track. Tempel One has drawn very wide but there does look to be plenty of speed up top and the chance he can find a three-wide running line. 13. Sumdeel kept chasing at Gunnedah first-up and showed glimpses of talent last preparation which culminated in a dominant class 1 win at Wagga out to the mile.How to play it: Tempel One to win.

Rothfire was irresistible in The Run to the Rose and history suggests it will be difficult for any of the Queenslander’s rivals to turn the tables.Credit:Getty

The lack of early pace in the Premiers Cup made it impossible for anything from the rear to be anywhere near the finish so be very forgiving of 3. Grey Lion last start. Grey Lion still clocked 33.52s for his last 600m despite running 11th. Kathy O’Hara jumps back on having won on the grey twice back in 2019 and Matt Smith has freshened up Grey Lion since with a tickover trial, which he won, and this formula has worked in the past for the former European. Stablemate 5. Attorney was balloted out of the 1900m benchmark race so there’s a query as to whether he is ready for the 2400m but have liked the way the import has found the line in his two runs back this time.How to play it: Grey Lion to win.

This is a perfect race for 9. Entente. Let’s start with the negative, because there is only one: the barrier. That said, if 2. Fun Fact has eyes for the lead, Entente will get a drag across. Tim Clark is the right man to have steering, however. The four-year-old found 1200m too sharp first-up but like how he held his ground through the line, before it all went very wrong second-up out to 1500m. He was shuffled back throughout after jumping in the first couple before running into dead ends. The son of Dundeel isn’t a sprint-home type so for him to still clock the second quickest last 200m there tells us everything we need to know about how he has come back. 11. Yonkers has flashed home in his two runs back and is another who sets up beautifully third-up.How to play it: Entente to win.

3. Love Tap has won three country races but he couldn’t have been any more impressive. The visual brilliance of the grey gelding’s wins have been backed up on the clock with the son of American sire Tapit smashing the clock with his closing splits. Add into the mix an effortless action and he has the makings of a very smart galloper. Michael and Richard Freedman have cuddled Love Tap up until this point, with the Spring Champion Stakes always the target. He’ll measure up and cement his spot at the top of betting for that group 1 feature in a fortnight. 6. Lion’s Roar looked to be under siege halfway down the straight at Kembla Grange last start but the son of Contributer was going away on the line, relishing the mile. He’ll eat the 1800m trip here. Prior to that he ran second to Mo’unga.How to play it: Love Tap to win.

12. Marboosha is an unassuming filly for the Snowdens but the only loss she has suffered to date was at the hands of Macroura. Prior to that the daughter of Dream Ahead parked three wide outside of the leaders at Warwick Farm yet still won going away beating 10. Forbidden Love who had every possible chance. There is a big early discrepancy in their respective prices for this. Expect that gap to close come jump time. We’ve seen this filly trial twice this time back, in the latest cruising to the line with stablemate 1. Wild Ruler, her main danger in this. Wild Ruler is well placed under the set weights and penalties of this race and ran Rothfire to 1.4L last preparation. Race-fit 2. Destination will get the last say.How to play it: Marboosha each-way.

5. I Am Superman has found the perfect race to launch an Epsom bid. The five-year-old was trialling brilliantly prior to his first up run but both hitouts were on the synthetic which can be misleading. Peter and Paul Snowden elected to send him to Melbourne where he won well at Caulfield. He didn’t get a run in the group 1 Sir Rupert Clark so here he is back in Sydney. The key to this import is dry tracks and Kerrin McEvoy should be able to park the sprinter-miler just in behind what should be a genuine speed. 13. Just Thinkin’ will be part of that speed battle up front but love how he ran through the line in the Cameron last start having found himself midfield. The blinkers go on and he gets in on the minimum. Looks hard to gun down if he can settle in the first two.How to play it: I Am Superman to win.

How do you deny 1. Rothfire after what he did in The Run To The Rose? The last four horses to come through the Run To The Rose to win the Golden Rose all won it. The Queenslander rode the hot speed set by Farnan, dragging his rivals up to the tearaway leader before holding a margin. The little query in trusting that form is this is a completely different scenario with a different lead speed and out to 1400m. Do like the map for him, however, with 9. Yardstick, the designated leader, drawn to his immediate inside. The only horse with a faster last 600m than Rothfire was 4. Ole Kirk. He was suited by the hot speed having parked out the back but his 32.84 was sizzling. 2. North Pacific is the runner most likely to jump out of the ground off his third place in the Run To The Rose.How to play it: Rothfire to win.

2. Haut Brion Her won the Sheraco with a showing off sustained speed with nine of her rivals needing to turn the tables on her from that. The five-year-old absorbed a lot of early pressure and was there to be gunned down late but she was simply too good, and has the makings of a top-liner hence the Everest rumblings. Given the Zoustar mare was nearly a year between runs, she can only improve. She has drawn off the track but with 4. Sweet Deal drawn a couple of barriers inside she’s likely to get a cart across. Her record now reads nine starts for six wins and three seconds and the 1400m trip holds no fears (3:2-1-0). Sweet Deal ran a 10.05s between the 1000m and 800m in the Sheraco. To only fade late to be beaten 2.3L was a brave effort.How to play it: Haut Brion Her to win.

2. Bottega was among the nominations for the group 2 Shannon Stakes and the four-year-old wouldn’t have been out of place there. Instead Gerald Ryan opts for a 1400m BM88. It’s a deep race but he’s a smart horse. Ryan has said he’s bullish about the way the son of Snitzel has returned this preparation and although running last in his one trial, he was climbing over heels late. We’re a forgiving bunch, us punters. 5. Masked Crusader has been rolled at $1.90 and then $1.95 second-up. Here we are again. He’s had excuses but wouldn’t have thought 1100m to 1400m is the ideal set-up, however. 12. Sneak Preview hit the line hard against the bias at Dubbo last start. He is flying.How to play it: Bottega each-way.

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Source: https://www.smh.com.au/sport/racing/race-by-race-tips-and-preview-for-golden-rose-day-at-rosehill-20200924-p55ytq.html

Horse racing, Golden Rose Stakes, Rosehill, Sports betting, The Run To The Rose, Jockey

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